House Speaker Nancy Pelosi could face a devastating loss in November’s midterm elections.
Fifty-five members of Congress will not be running for re-election in 2022. The 55 breaks down to 6 U.S. Senator spots and 49 House lawmaker spots.
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Of the 49 House lawmakers not running for re-election, 32 of them are Democrats.
The 55 retiring members include 32 Democrats and 23 Republicans, accounting for 11.9% of the Democratic caucus. The 11.9% retirement rate among Democrats is the largest since 2014 when 8.5% of Democrats did not run for re-election.
The 8.8% retirement Rae among Republicans is the second-lowest since 2014. The only year with a lower retirement rate was 2016 when 8.6% of Republicans retired. Democrats had their lowest retirement rates out of the past five cycles in 2018 and 2020, when 7.4% and 3.4%, respectively, of the caucus, did not seek re-election. Republicans had their highest retirement rates out of the past five cycles in those years, with 12.6% of the caucus retiring in 2018 and 11.5% in 2020.
Recently, The Atlantic reported that Nancy Pelosi announced she would be “stepping down” shortly.
“Sometime in the not-so-distant future, probably after next year’s midterm elections, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will announce that she’s stepping down,” the outlet said.
They added, “Her top deputies…aspire to her job, but they’re also in their early 80s, and most Democrats in and out of Congress are counting on them to step aside too. Of course, they all have stock responses denying that anyone is ever going anywhere. But the day is coming,” they added.
The Conservative Brief reported:
A top House Democrat is warming that the Republican Party is in a prime position to take back the lower chamber in the 2022 midterm elections.
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Sean Atrtick, who serves as a congressman from New York, says Democrats would lose their majority if the midterms were held today.
Punchbowl News surveyed several Capitol Hill aides and reported that a whopping 73 percent think Republicans will take the speaker’s gavel from Democrat Rep. Nancy Pelosi next November.
Republicans need a net gain of 5 seats to regain the House majority in the midterms next November.
Tim Persico spoke with Politico and shared data with incumbents showing that many House Democrats are at risk of losing their seats to Republicans.
“We are not afraid of this data…We’re not trying to hide this. If Democrats use it, we’re going to hold the House. That’s what this data tells us, but we gotta get in action,” he said.
He added, “The point is, to make sure that we’re all on the same page, that we understand the stakes. Here’s the good news: Everything we are doing and everything we’ve talked about doing is incredibly popular.